Do not index
Do not index
March end is generally the time when I go over my financial bets.
Maybe I will sell some, maybe I will buy some.
But I definitely reflect on all of them.
And when I was going through all the things happening in the economy, I came to a conclusion:
GOOGLE and META shares will 2-3x soon.
Here’s why I’m buying $100,000 worth of shares 👇🏻👇🏻
A perfect storm is brewing that will benefit these tech giants from BOTH ends:
Catalyst #1: More Money Flowing to the Stock Market
I predict that we’re going to see a very large surplus of money in the coming months.
AI is changing where money goes:
- Teams are getting smaller (AI doing the work of 5 people)
- Startups need WAY less funding to build
- That means less VC money going to startups
- Where's that money going? The stock market
Meta and Google are massive components of the S&P 500.
More money in the market = these giants benefit disproportionately.
Catalyst #2: Content Distribution is King
As I've been saying for years, distribution is everything now:
- Teams shrink due to AI
- Product building is easier
- Distribution becomes THE bottleneck
- How do companies solve distribution? 👉 ADS.
Guess who controls the two biggest ad platforms in the world?
That's right - Meta and Google.
As companies desperately push money into distribution, these two collect the checks.
The AI Effect
Y Combinator startups are growing faster and more profitably than ever because of AI.
They're spending less on:
- Development
- Staffing
- Infrastructure
And more on:
- Ads
- Growth
- Expansion
Why I'm bullish
Both Meta and Google benefit from these shifts:
- More money flowing INTO their stock
- More money flowing INTO their ad platforms
It's like owning both the casino AND the hotel it sits in.
I'm not a financial advisor, this is not financial advice; this is simply me putting my money where my mouth is.
I'm buying shares consistently and plan to hold for 3 years minimum.
The bottom line
While everyone's chasing the next shiny AI startup, I'm betting on the platforms that will:
- Collect the ad dollars from ALL successful AI startups
- Benefit from the massive shift of capital to public markets
When there’s a gold rush — sell shovels (or bet on the people that sell shovels).
Hit reply if you've got thoughts on this investment thesis. I'd love to hear your take. 👇🏻
Tweet of the week
Crazy what a good team building good technology can do.
Life changing money just for working on the ‘right’ thing.
If you have a friend in tech — share this email with them (you will seem smart to them 😅)
Keep building (and investing)
Tibo 💻